← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.88+1.61vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+3.00vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.19-0.77vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.61+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.15+1.34vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-0.43+0.97vs Predicted
-
7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.63-2.30vs Predicted
-
8Brown University-0.76-0.42vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut-1.01-0.92vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College-1.09-1.74vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-2.91+0.07vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-2.32-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.61Tufts University1.880.3%1st Place
-
5.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.1%1st Place
-
2.23Tufts University2.190.4%1st Place
-
4.79Northeastern University0.610.1%1st Place
-
6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
-
6.97McGill University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
4.7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.630.1%1st Place
-
7.58Brown University-0.760.0%1st Place
-
8.08University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
-
8.26Middlebury College-1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of New Hampshire-2.910.0%1st Place
-
10.36University of New Hampshire-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Brush | 28.4% | 26.4% | 20.3% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maya Stephani | 5.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Robison | 39.0% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jon Ewing | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Cho | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Ayden Watt | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Theodore Lynn | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gagnon | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 1.7% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 11.1% | 2.6% |
| Jeanelle Tsai | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 20.4% | 14.0% | 3.4% |
| Timothy Readdean | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 20.3% | 61.4% |
| Zachery Frangman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 13.3% | 37.1% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.