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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.88+1.79vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.19+0.32vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+2.34vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.61+1.08vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.65-0.03vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.63-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.01+1.33vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.43-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.32+1.47vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.09-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.91+0.14vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.15-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Tufts University1.880.2%1st Place
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2.32Tufts University2.190.4%1st Place
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5.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.1%1st Place
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5.08Northeastern University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.97Brown University0.650.1%1st Place
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5.1Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.630.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.21McGill University-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.47University of New Hampshire-2.320.0%1st Place
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8.52Middlebury College-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.14University of New Hampshire-2.910.0%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Brush | 24.9% | 26.0% | 21.2% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Robison | 36.7% | 26.9% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maya Stephani | 7.0% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jon Ewing | 5.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Haller | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Lynn | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| Ayden Watt | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Zachery Frangman | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 15.0% | 37.8% | 29.4% |
| Jeanelle Tsai | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 24.9% | 15.7% | 3.6% |
| Timothy Readdean | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 21.7% | 61.4% |
| Julia Cho | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.