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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.19+1.25vs Predicted
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2Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.63+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-1.01+5.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.88-1.38vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+0.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University-0.76+1.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.15-0.71vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.61-3.25vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.09-0.80vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.43-3.09vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.32-0.57vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.91-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Tufts University2.190.4%1st Place
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4.72Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.630.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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2.62Tufts University1.880.3%1st Place
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5.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University-0.760.0%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.75Northeastern University0.610.1%1st Place
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8.2Middlebury College-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.91McGill University-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.43University of New Hampshire-2.320.0%1st Place
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11.07University of New Hampshire-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Robison | 36.4% | 27.4% | 20.6% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Lynn | 7.5% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.6% |
| Maria Brush | 28.0% | 26.4% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maya Stephani | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gagnon | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Julia Cho | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jon Ewing | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeanelle Tsai | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% |
| Ayden Watt | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Zachery Frangman | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 36.1% | 31.9% |
| Timothy Readdean | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 22.9% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.