Race 1A

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lindsey Baab 30.7% 20.9% 16.0% 15.2% 9.6% 3.6% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 15.3% 14.4% 15.8% 14.8% 11.5% 11.7% 6.8% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 9.8% 11.9% 13.5% 13.0% 12.9% 13.1% 11.4% 6.6% 4.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 4.3% 6.5% 8.2% 9.0% 9.2% 10.1% 12.5% 12.5% 11.3% 8.6% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Lindsay Powers 5.6% 5.7% 7.3% 9.3% 9.2% 9.3% 10.7% 13.4% 12.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.4%
Collin Alexander 16.8% 17.4% 15.7% 13.9% 12.6% 9.8% 5.7% 4.0% 3.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Bresnick 7.4% 8.9% 10.7% 8.7% 11.6% 11.9% 12.9% 9.2% 9.4% 5.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 3.2% 4.9% 3.6% 4.8% 7.1% 8.1% 10.8% 13.1% 13.0% 14.4% 10.7% 5.2% 1.1%
Taylor Hart 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 3.9% 3.4% 3.7% 5.7% 9.0% 13.9% 18.1% 22.6% 12.7%
Noah Brayer 2.4% 4.9% 3.3% 4.3% 5.6% 9.1% 9.6% 11.6% 13.5% 13.7% 11.0% 8.5% 2.5%
Shannon McKeown 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.0% 3.4% 4.4% 9.1% 18.7% 57.5%
Anne Cathrine Longo 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 4.1% 5.4% 6.6% 11.2% 17.4% 25.4% 20.4%
Nathaniel Barton 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 3.9% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 10.7% 15.3% 17.6% 14.5% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.