Race 2A

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lindsey Baab 34.3% 24.8% 18.1% 9.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 15.3% 18.8% 17.8% 16.9% 14.0% 10.3% 4.0% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Talia Toland 14.5% 14.2% 17.4% 19.0% 15.9% 10.7% 5.5% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Collin Alexander 16.5% 19.5% 19.1% 19.6% 11.8% 8.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Zachary Bresnick 8.4% 9.8% 11.2% 13.8% 17.8% 17.2% 12.5% 6.4% 2.4% 0.5%
Noah Brayer 4.3% 4.4% 4.9% 5.3% 9.1% 15.0% 20.0% 20.2% 13.3% 3.5%
Nathaniel Barton 1.9% 1.9% 3.1% 5.3% 7.6% 10.9% 19.6% 22.4% 20.0% 7.3%
Nicholas Memoli 3.4% 4.5% 6.5% 8.0% 10.4% 16.3% 19.8% 19.2% 10.2% 1.7%
Anne Cathrine Longo 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 4.2% 5.1% 9.7% 17.7% 35.7% 21.5%
Shannon McKeown 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 4.5% 7.2% 17.5% 65.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.