Race 3A

dark-night

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Austen Freda 11.3% 12.1% 14.5% 14.0% 16.4% 14.0% 11.3% 4.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Reed Lorimer 16.0% 20.7% 17.2% 17.0% 13.8% 8.4% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Lindsey Baab 33.7% 24.2% 19.4% 12.7% 6.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Collin Alexander 18.4% 19.6% 20.9% 16.9% 12.0% 7.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Bresnick 9.0% 10.5% 10.6% 16.1% 17.7% 14.6% 12.1% 6.9% 2.0% 0.5%
Noah Brayer 4.7% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 10.1% 15.6% 17.2% 20.6% 14.0% 3.1%
Nathaniel Barton 1.9% 2.3% 3.4% 5.5% 7.6% 12.0% 17.0% 24.5% 19.6% 6.2%
Nicholas Memoli 3.2% 4.8% 7.3% 8.6% 10.2% 15.6% 20.5% 17.2% 10.6% 2.0%
Shannon McKeown 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.3% 6.4% 16.7% 66.9%
Anne Cathrine Longo 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.8% 4.4% 6.8% 9.3% 16.9% 35.0% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.