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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+3.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+2.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.97+1.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70-1.27vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.19-1.44vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.05-0.21vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.97+2.92vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.09+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30+1.59vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.65-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.78+0.33vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.07-1.68vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.55-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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4.03Boston University1.970.1%1st Place
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2.73Brown University2.700.3%1st Place
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3.56Tufts University2.190.2%1st Place
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5.79Boston University1.050.1%1st Place
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9.92Boston University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.2Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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6.73Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.780.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Connecticut-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.3Wesleyan University-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Van Mell | 12.2% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 12.9% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 12.9% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 30.6% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Robison | 17.7% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Reed | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Cronin-Golomb | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 12.2% |
| Brian Kiley | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 23.6% |
| Erin Coyne | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Anna Nelson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 39.4% |
| Andrew Ventres | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 21.5% | 17.3% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.