Race 2B

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Housberg 46.5% 28.2% 13.7% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Reed 13.3% 17.3% 22.5% 19.6% 14.0% 7.4% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Evan Robison 17.6% 21.1% 21.7% 17.6% 13.8% 4.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 3.6% 5.7% 8.8% 12.5% 16.4% 17.7% 16.6% 11.2% 5.9% 1.6%
Olivia Cronin-Golomb 2.3% 3.2% 5.2% 5.4% 8.1% 10.6% 14.6% 19.7% 18.0% 12.9%
Erin Coyne 11.0% 14.6% 14.5% 17.8% 17.3% 13.8% 7.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
Sarah Gallagher 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 4.1% 6.4% 8.4% 14.6% 17.0% 22.5% 22.4%
Andrew Ventres 1.4% 2.1% 4.1% 6.2% 6.0% 12.6% 13.7% 18.8% 19.9% 15.2%
Anna Nelson 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 7.2% 8.1% 13.8% 19.9% 41.7%
Abraham Kipnis 2.2% 4.9% 6.0% 8.4% 11.3% 16.3% 17.4% 15.2% 12.5% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.