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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.20+1.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.29+0.11vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.05+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30+3.76vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.65-0.75vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.09-1.43vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.55-2.51vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.78-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.07-3.67vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.97-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Brown University2.200.4%1st Place
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2.11Tufts University2.290.4%1st Place
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3.72Boston University1.050.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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4.25Northeastern University0.650.1%1st Place
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5.57Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.49Wesleyan University-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.780.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Connecticut-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.17Boston University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Housberg | 35.2% | 32.0% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bram Brakman | 37.0% | 31.8% | 19.2% | 9.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Reed | 10.9% | 12.7% | 22.7% | 22.6% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 22.2% |
| Erin Coyne | 7.3% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brian Kiley | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 1.9% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 6.0% |
| Anna Nelson | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 41.9% |
| Andrew Ventres | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 14.5% |
| Olivia Cronin-Golomb | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.