← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College-0.65+2.30vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire-0.93+1.91vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-1.30+1.70vs Predicted
-
4Bates College0.72-2.03vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-1.54+0.23vs Predicted
-
6Bentley University-0.45-2.68vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-1.99-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.3Bates College-0.6515.2%1st Place
-
3.91University of New Hampshire-0.9311.8%1st Place
-
4.7McGill University-1.305.5%1st Place
-
1.97Bates College0.7245.8%1st Place
-
5.23University of New Hampshire-1.543.6%1st Place
-
3.32Bentley University-0.4514.8%1st Place
-
5.57Bates College-1.993.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Shuster | 15.2% | 19.4% | 21.4% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 11.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 7.3% |
| Brendan Chinn | 5.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 21.3% | 18.2% |
| Jett Lindelof | 45.8% | 27.2% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 26.2% | 29.1% |
| John O'Connell | 14.8% | 19.8% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.