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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.62vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+7.48vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+7.31vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+5.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24+0.88vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+1.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.73vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.25vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.75-1.22vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+0.14vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.48vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.39+1.73vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-4.09vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-5.04vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.70vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-7.16vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.72-4.69vs Predicted
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18Cornell University3.14-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.48Jacksonville University3.430.0%1st Place
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10.31Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.73Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.91Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.3SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.31Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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10.24Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| William Logue | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Augie Dale | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 30.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 14.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.