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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+7.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.52vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.39vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+5.56vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.75+2.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.06vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+1.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-0.76vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39+0.09vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39+1.83vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.69vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-1.18vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-5.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.06vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-4.38vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.14-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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5.52Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.56Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.3College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.09Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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8.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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12.83Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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11.82SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.98George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.62Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.95Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Augie Dale | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| William Logue | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 29.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 15.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.