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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+10.60vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+5.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.94vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.14vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.75+1.59vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+2.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.72vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-1.48vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.72+1.46vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.41-1.97vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-3.09vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-4.52vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.14-3.95vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.24-9.36vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.25vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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12.6Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.86Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.59College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.46Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.03George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.05Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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5.64Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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11.75SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.64Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 26.1% |
| William Logue | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Augie Dale | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.2% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.