← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College2.69+10.37vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.24+3.53vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.48+5.50vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University3.41+4.87vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.75+2.32vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.12vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.72+4.52vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.39+4.43vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.53-0.47vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.73vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.44vs Predicted
-
12Boston University3.24-2.45vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University3.14-2.93vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University3.39-4.91vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-6.13vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.77-8.60vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy3.63-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.37SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
5.53Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
8.5Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.87George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.32College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
9.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
-
11.52Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
12.43Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
8.53Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
9.55Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
10.07Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
-
9.09Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
-
8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
7.4Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.0U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Augie Dale | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 25.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| William Logue | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.