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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+7.10vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+6.86vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.36vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.75+3.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.72vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+3.72vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.86vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+3.40vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-1.44vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.24-4.49vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.44vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.72-0.45vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-4.37vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.94vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-2.27vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.14-6.04vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.86Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.52College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.4SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.51Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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11.55Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.63Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.73Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.96Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| William Logue | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Augie Dale | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.1% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 15.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 27.8% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.