← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.39+7.69vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.81vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.75+4.45vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.53+4.39vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.10vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.77+1.58vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.48+1.57vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.73vs Predicted
-
9Yale University4.24-3.23vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University3.41-1.35vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University3.14-0.93vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.65vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.93vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.39-1.11vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.24-5.50vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.72-4.34vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College2.69-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.69Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.81U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.45College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
8.39Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
7.58Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.57Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
5.77Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
8.65George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
-
10.07Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
-
7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
12.89Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.5Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.66Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
11.71SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Augie Dale | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 28.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.7% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.