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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+7.65vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+6.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+5.32vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+5.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.16vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-0.23vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.75+0.43vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+1.30vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-0.29vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.69+1.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.87vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-4.61vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.39-3.98vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.72-2.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.13vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.39-3.10vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.67George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.97Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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5.77Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.3Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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11.56SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.73Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.9Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Augie Dale | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 15.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| William Logue | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 16.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 27.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.