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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+6.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+6.40vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+5.77vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.96vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+3.16vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72+5.76vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+1.92vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+3.42vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.44vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.78vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.75-3.35vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-2.53vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.14-2.96vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.88vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-2.28vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.02vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.24-11.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.4Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.77George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.76Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.92Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.42SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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7.65College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.04Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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12.72Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.5% |
| William Logue | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 16.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Augie Dale | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 27.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.