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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+8.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.42vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+5.27vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+5.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.96vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+1.51vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.75+0.39vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41+0.55vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-0.35vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.32vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.58vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.39-3.16vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-1.23vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.39-1.19vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-7.71vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.09vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.72-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.42Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.83Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.39College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.55George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.65Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.77SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.81Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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11.53Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Augie Dale | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| William Logue | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 17.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 27.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.