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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+8.35vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+6.80vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75+4.50vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+4.64vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.30vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+4.16vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.38vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.53+0.24vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41+0.06vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.39-1.18vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-4.52vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.87vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-4.47vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.04-4.57vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-4.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.30-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.35Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.64Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.16Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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5.62Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.86SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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11.71Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Naval Academy3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Augie Dale | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| William Logue | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 21.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Alp Rodopman | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 17.9% |
| Parker Loftus | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.