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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.72+0.97vs Predicted
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2McGill University-1.30+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.93+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.54+1.12vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.65-1.62vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.99-0.42vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.45-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Bates College0.7244.0%1st Place
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4.64McGill University-1.307.0%1st Place
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3.98University of New Hampshire-0.9310.0%1st Place
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5.12University of New Hampshire-1.544.7%1st Place
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3.38Bates College-0.6514.7%1st Place
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5.58Bates College-1.993.9%1st Place
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3.33Bentley University-0.4515.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 44.0% | 29.0% | 16.4% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Chinn | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 22.4% | 15.8% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 10.0% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 7.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 23.5% | 27.9% |
| Greta Shuster | 14.7% | 18.4% | 22.0% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 42.6% |
| John O'Connell | 15.8% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.