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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+7.01vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.49+9.18vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+6.10vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+3.08vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.34vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+2.29vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.26vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19-0.36vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.53-3.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.22-2.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-1.19vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.25-4.72vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.71-7.54vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-5.66vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.43-4.48vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.95-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.18George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.1Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.34SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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8.28Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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11.52Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.17Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% |
| Trevor Long | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Charles Miller | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Andy Reiter | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 13.4% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.