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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+5.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+6.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+5.23vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+5.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+4.08vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+2.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+3.80vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.27vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.49+2.41vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.79-0.13vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-2.37vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.95+1.12vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.25-4.75vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.25-5.69vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.53-7.96vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.43-4.45vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.08Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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6.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.41George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.87Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.12Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.25SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.31Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.04Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.55Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Charles Miller | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 32.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Andy Reiter | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
| Trevor Long | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.