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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.65vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.60vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+6.37vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+5.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.22+3.06vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.95+7.31vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71-0.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+2.61vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.66vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.43+1.36vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-2.34vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.49-0.81vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.25-4.72vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.23-5.62vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-6.80vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.79-5.92vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.53-9.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.32Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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13.31Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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8.34SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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11.36Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.19George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.28Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.38College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.08Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 31.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Andy Reiter | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.