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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+7.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+6.40vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+7.21vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.85+4.69vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.53+1.35vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19+1.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79+1.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.22-0.44vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-0.79vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43+0.57vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.24vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-6.42vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.95-0.71vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-6.76vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-5.02vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.57Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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11.21George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.69College of Charleston2.850.0%1st Place
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7.35Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.87Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.57Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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13.29Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.24SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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7.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% |
| Carter Cameron | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.6% |
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 32.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% |
| Charles Miller | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.