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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+5.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+5.50vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+6.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.22+3.19vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.92vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+2.33vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.07vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.49+2.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-1.82vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.46vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.95+1.11vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-1.33vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.53-6.73vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-8.09vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.85-6.07vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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5.55Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.07Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.33Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.07SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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11.47George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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13.11Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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11.67Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.93College of Charleston2.850.0%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Trevor Long | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 13.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 31.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Charles Miller | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Carter Cameron | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Hunter | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.