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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+5.40vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.25+6.29vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.85+6.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.58vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.49+6.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.13vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79+1.98vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-1.70vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-5.08vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.53-4.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-4.14vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.19-5.21vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.95-1.80vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.97-6.45vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.43-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.29SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston2.850.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.18George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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9.98Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.37Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.2Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.55Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.72Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Carter Cameron | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% |
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
| Charles Miller | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 32.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Balk | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.