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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+7.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+6.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+6.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+6.26vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.66vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+0.77vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.93-1.24vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.11vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.53-1.55vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.49+1.30vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-3.27vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-1.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.22-5.32vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.85-5.08vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.97-6.46vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.95-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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10.26Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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5.76Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.3George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.57SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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11.79Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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9.92College of Charleston2.850.0%1st Place
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9.54Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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13.32Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% |
| Trevor Long | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Miller | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andy Reiter | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.8% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Carter Cameron | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 15.3% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.