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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+6.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+6.43vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.95+10.24vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+5.64vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.44vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.930.00vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-0.25vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.49+1.41vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-0.49vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.82vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.19-4.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-5.02vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.23-6.45vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.43-4.18vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.71-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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13.24Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.64Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.41George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.51Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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11.82Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 33.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Long | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.8% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Charles Miller | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 13.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.