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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.72+1.00vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.65+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.93+0.99vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.45-0.74vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.99+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.54-0.84vs Predicted
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7McGill University-1.30-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Bates College0.7243.4%1st Place
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3.32Bates College-0.6515.0%1st Place
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3.99University of New Hampshire-0.9310.5%1st Place
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3.26Bentley University-0.4517.2%1st Place
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5.6Bates College-1.992.6%1st Place
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5.16University of New Hampshire-1.545.1%1st Place
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4.68McGill University-1.306.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jett Lindelof | 43.4% | 28.7% | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Greta Shuster | 15.0% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
Lucas Wiatrowski | 10.5% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 7.0% |
John O'Connell | 17.2% | 20.3% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
Stephanie Charbonnier | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 42.4% |
Kathleen Hanson | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 25.3% | 28.1% |
Brendan Chinn | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.