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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.08+1.85vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.87+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.29+0.21vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21-2.35vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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3.85University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.55Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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3.65Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 29.4% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Max Thompson | 12.6% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 9.6% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 20.9% |
| Keen Butcher | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.3% |
| David Beaudry | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 35.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 16.0% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 7.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.