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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.08+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of Florida1.29+3.16vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+1.54vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.74-1.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.15vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21-2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Miami2.080.2%1st Place
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5.16University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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4.54Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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2.86Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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3.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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3.66Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.12University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Thompson | 15.9% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| David Beaudry | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 36.8% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 9.4% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 26.8% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 12.8% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 9.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 17.0% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 8.2% |
| Keen Butcher | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.