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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.08+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+1.90vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.74-0.04vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.69+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.87-0.48vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.98vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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2.96Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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4.84Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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4.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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3.74Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Thompson | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 14.9% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 25.3% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 27.5% |
| Keen Butcher | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 17.6% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.