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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.69+3.71vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+1.86vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.20+0.91vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.74-0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08-0.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.86Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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3.01Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Hayden | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 26.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 13.8% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 14.4% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 24.8% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Max Thompson | 10.4% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 16.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 14.3% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 14.5% |
| Keen Butcher | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.