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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.08+2.06vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+1.77vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.20-0.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.87-1.52vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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4.06University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.77Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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3.71Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 28.2% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Max Thompson | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 12.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 26.5% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 13.3% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 11.7% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% |
| Keen Butcher | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 21.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 16.8% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.