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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.80vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.69+2.75vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.06vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.74-0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.20-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.75Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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3.04Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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3.92University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 16.4% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.5% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 27.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 24.8% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 12.6% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.1% |
| Max Thompson | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% |
| Keen Butcher | 11.3% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.