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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+1.85vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.07vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21-0.07vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.69-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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3.85University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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3.93Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.8Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 27.6% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 14.4% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 27.3% |
| Max Thompson | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 15.6% |
| Keen Butcher | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.