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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+2.31vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.87+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.79-0.82vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.59+0.61vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.33-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.52-1.63vs Predicted
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8American University-0.66-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Virginia Tech0.6719.0%1st Place
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2.96North Carolina State University0.8724.6%1st Place
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4.89University of Maryland-0.087.8%1st Place
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3.18University of Virginia0.7922.8%1st Place
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5.61William and Mary-0.595.4%1st Place
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5.14Penn State University-0.337.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Virginia-0.526.5%1st Place
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5.53American University-0.666.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 19.0% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Brelage | 24.6% | 22.6% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Jared Cohen | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 11.7% |
| Andrew Montague | 22.8% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Finian Knight | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 24.3% |
| Justin Marquez | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 15.8% |
| Henry Myrick | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 20.2% |
| James Cottage | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.