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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+2.52vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.69+2.06vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.74-0.44vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.87-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.06Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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2.56Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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3.34Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Miami2.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 14.3% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 21.0% | 28.5% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 31.0% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 18.0% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 11.6% |
| Keen Butcher | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 24.7% |
| Max Thompson | 15.3% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.