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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.08+2.55vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.74+0.58vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+1.09vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21-0.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.87-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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2.58Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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4.09Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.33Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Thompson | 14.1% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 16.6% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 31.9% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 27.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 17.4% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 10.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 14.4% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 18.2% |
| Keen Butcher | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.