← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.74+1.61vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.69+2.07vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.49vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.08-0.49vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University2.21-1.54vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.87-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.61Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
-
4.07Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
-
3.51University of Miami2.080.2%1st Place
-
3.46Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
-
3.86University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 30.4% | 24.2% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 9.6% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 29.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 16.0% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 13.7% |
| Max Thompson | 16.1% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 14.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 15.4% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 15.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 12.5% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.