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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+1.61vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.69+2.07vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.08-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.87-1.06vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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4.07Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.34Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Miami2.080.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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3.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 30.6% | 24.4% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 9.8% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 29.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 17.1% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 11.3% |
| Max Thompson | 15.5% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 14.7% |
| Keen Butcher | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 20.9% | 23.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 15.6% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.