← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.08+2.57vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.87+1.78vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University1.69+1.10vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University2.21-0.66vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.39vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.74-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.57University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
-
3.78University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
-
4.1Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.34Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
-
3.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
2.6Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Thompson | 13.9% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.5% |
| Keen Butcher | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 22.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 28.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 17.8% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 11.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 14.2% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 18.4% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 29.3% | 24.2% | 19.6% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.