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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.69+3.15vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.87+0.83vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08-1.36vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.74-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.31Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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3.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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2.59Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Hayden | 8.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 30.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 18.5% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 11.4% |
| Keen Butcher | 13.5% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 20.8% |
| Alexander Bowen | 16.3% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 14.6% |
| Max Thompson | 13.6% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 19.7% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 29.6% | 23.7% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.