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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.87+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.79+1.08vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.67+0.37vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.59+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.52+0.58vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.33-0.90vs Predicted
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7American University-0.66-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.08-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93North Carolina State University0.8725.9%1st Place
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3.08University of Virginia0.7922.8%1st Place
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3.37Virginia Tech0.6718.3%1st Place
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5.54William and Mary-0.596.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Virginia-0.524.7%1st Place
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5.1Penn State University-0.338.2%1st Place
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5.58American University-0.666.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Maryland-0.088.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 25.9% | 22.0% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Montague | 22.8% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| James Lilyquist | 18.3% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Finian Knight | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 23.2% |
| Henry Myrick | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 22.9% |
| Justin Marquez | 8.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 15.2% |
| James Cottage | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 20.4% | 23.6% |
| Jared Cohen | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.