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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University0.05+3.81vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.82+0.41vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.65-0.41vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-1.01vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.43-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.14-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.34-0.49vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.75-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Tulane University0.050.1%1st Place
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2.41University of North Texas1.820.3%1st Place
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2.59Tulane University1.650.3%1st Place
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2.99Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.2%1st Place
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4.34Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Texas0.140.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.62Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clementine Furber | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 27.8% | 13.3% | 1.3% |
| Forrest Short | 32.0% | 26.4% | 20.7% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 27.5% | 26.7% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 20.2% | 22.6% | 20.9% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 7.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Verdoia | 5.8% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 26.5% | 11.5% | 1.3% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 50.5% | 19.0% |
| Corey Staph | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 15.1% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.