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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Texas1.82+1.38vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+0.97vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.43+1.32vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.05+0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.14-0.30vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.65-3.40vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.34-0.46vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.75-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of North Texas1.820.3%1st Place
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2.97Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.2%1st Place
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4.32Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.87Tulane University0.050.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Texas0.140.1%1st Place
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2.6Tulane University1.650.3%1st Place
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6.54University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.62Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forrest Short | 33.3% | 26.1% | 20.5% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 20.0% | 22.2% | 22.4% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 7.7% | 0.3% |
| Clementine Furber | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 22.1% | 26.7% | 14.1% | 1.7% |
| Emily Verdoia | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 26.1% | 11.3% | 1.1% |
| Caelan Watts | 26.4% | 25.8% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 14.0% | 51.7% | 18.5% |
| Corey Staph | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 14.0% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.