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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Texas1.82+1.39vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+1.00vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.61-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-1.34+2.58vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.32-0.44vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.75+1.64vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.43-2.55vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.14-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of North Texas1.820.3%1st Place
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3.0Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.2%1st Place
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2.63Tulane University1.610.3%1st Place
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6.58University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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4.56Tulane University0.320.1%1st Place
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7.64Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.750.0%1st Place
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4.45Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Texas0.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forrest Short | 33.1% | 26.8% | 19.3% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 21.4% | 19.4% | 23.3% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Mcavoy | 26.4% | 24.8% | 22.3% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 56.3% | 17.4% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 24.8% | 24.9% | 8.7% | 0.7% |
| Corey Staph | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 14.9% | 78.1% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 23.5% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Emily Verdoia | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 21.9% | 26.2% | 10.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.