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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University0.26+1.83vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston0.68+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas-1.13+2.20vs Predicted
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4Tulane University-1.61+2.04vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.40-1.09vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.13-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.12-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-1.27-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Tulane University0.260.2%1st Place
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2.29Texas A&M University at Galveston0.680.4%1st Place
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5.2University of North Texas-1.130.1%1st Place
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6.04Tulane University-1.610.0%1st Place
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3.91Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.2Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.130.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Texas-1.120.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Texas-1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Graf | 25.0% | 24.6% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Dean Bethel | 36.9% | 27.3% | 17.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shelby Thornton | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
| Sean Tichenor | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 33.4% |
| Carson Pepper | 12.3% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Charles Larrouilh | 6.0% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 16.3% |
| Gabriella Wong | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 15.3% |
| Michael Hernandez | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.