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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.18+3.11vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.61+0.88vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.59vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86-0.89vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.85-0.83vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07-1.55vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University0.54-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11U. S. Naval Academy1.1812.3%1st Place
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2.88Old Dominion University1.6126.3%1st Place
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4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.678.3%1st Place
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3.11Georgetown University1.8621.9%1st Place
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4.17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8511.8%1st Place
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4.45George Washington University1.0710.5%1st Place
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4.69Georgetown University0.548.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% |
| Esther Ireland | 26.3% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 21.9% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Maisy Sperry | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| Alexa Shea | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.